Research

Lincoln Property Company’s in-house Research department advises clients on the constantly changing commercial real estate environment, helping them make quick market decisions, or plan long-term strategy. Please contact us to receive a copy of our marketing materials, or to discuss the D.C commercial real estate market today.

Washington D.C.

  • 135 Million SFInvestory (RSF)
  • 10.3%Direct Vacancy Rate
  • 11.7%Total Vacancy Rate
  • 1,962,912 SFYTD Absorption
  • $49.39 psf FSAsking Rental Rate (FS)

The Washington, D.C. office market consists of 776 buildings over 25,000 sf for a total inventory of approximately 135 million square feet. Good news in the market includes a vacancy rate that actually decreased for the first time since the third quarter of 2008 and a net absorption rate that was the highest quarterly rate since 2005. Much of the positive news is centered on the Federal Government, which remains active in leasing buildings in the Southwest, NoMa and East End submarkets. The two largest leases and four out of the top 10 leases in the quarter were Federal Government leases. The private sector experienced several large lease transactions this quarter with Carlyle Investment and Fannie Mae renewing at 1001 Pennsylvania Ave NW and 2115 Wisconsin Ave NW, respectively. Four new buildings delivered this quarter totaling 1.6 million square feet.

Northern VA

  • 175 Million SFInvestory (RSF)
  • 11.6%Direct Vacancy Rate
  • 13%Total Vacancy Rate
  • (218.619) SFYTD Absorption
  • $30.23 psf FSAsking Rental Rate (FS)

The Northern Virginia office market, which consists of 175 million square feet of inventory in Arlington, Alexandria, Fairfax, and Loudoun counties, exhibited signs of recovery during the second quarter 2010 as it improved in virtually all leasing categories from previous quarters. As the national economy continues to rebound from the most recent recession, the Washington, D.C. region remains one of the strongest performing office markets in the country. The national unemployment rate had dropped to 9.5% by the end of June, and there had been over 593,000 private-sector jobs added in 2010. When comparing this number to the Arlington (4.3%), Alexandria (4.8%), Fairfax (5%), and Loudoun (4.9%) counties’ unemployment rates, one may foresee that a long-term recovery is in the making. Improvements in net absorption, vacancy, and asking rates defined the Northern Virginia office market’s performance in the second quarter 2010. As had been the case the past two quarters, sublease space that had hit the market in early 2009 continued to become absorbed in Fairfax, Arlington, and Alexandria counties. The overall asking rental rate increased from $29.88 in the first quarter 2010 to $30.23 in the second quarter 2010. The Government Services Administration (GSA), which accounted for 31% of all Northern Virginia leasing activity in 2009, continues to maintain a strong presence in the market. The top GSA transaction was a 83,000 square foot relet lease signed by The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) at Two Potomac Yard located at 2733 Potomac Yard in the Crystal City submarket. Other significant transactions included Deltek’s lease signed at 2291 Wood Oak Drive in the Herndon submarket for 113,787 square feet, Science Applications International Corporation’s (SAIC) 110,500 square foot lease at Metro Park VIII – 6909 Metro Park in the Springfield submarket, K-12, Inc.’s 98,000 square foot lease extension at South Pointe II - 2300 Corporate Park Drive in Herndon, and Deloitte’s 96,000 square foot expansion at Waterview - 1919 N Lynn Street in the Rosslyn submarket. Although there were only two lease transactions executed in excess of 100,000 square feet during the second quarter 2010, the volume of leases signed over 50,000 square feet greatly surpassed that of previous quarters. Increased sales and leasing activity should result in improved market fundamentals; however the effects of this recovery will most likely not be realized until 2011.

Suburban Maryland

  • 81.64 Million SFInvestory (RSF)
  • 13.2%Direct Vacancy Rate
  • 14.6%Total Vacancy Rate
  • 533,795 SFYTD Absorption
  • $26.17 psf FSAsking Rental Rate (FS)

The Suburban Maryland office market consists of 863 office buildings totaling approximately 81.64 million square feet located in Montgomery and Prince George’s Counties. During the second quarter 2010, the direct vacancy rate in the Suburban Maryland office market increased over the last year by 1.0% to 13.2%, and the total vacancy rate increased by 0.9% to 14.6%. Over the second quarter, Suburban Maryland witnessed 66,201 square feet of direct net absorption totaling 114,042 square feet year-to date 2010. When including the substantial absorption of sublet space over the second quarter, total net absorption for the second quarter was a solid 378,312 square feet. The direct asking rental rates in the office market decreased slightly over the second quarter to $26.17 per square foot Full Service. The Class-A rates dropped $0.34 over the second quarter to $29.44 per square foot Full Service which is a result of a tenant’s marketplace as well as a surplus of sublet space being on the market. As consistent with supply and demand principles, rental rates are inversely proportionate to vacancy rates and this continues to remain true. There are currently 91 existing office buildings marketing contiguous blocks of space 30,000 square feet or greater in the Suburban Maryland market. One of the largest leases signed during the second quarter was in the Bethesda/Chevy Chase submarket where the HHS signed a lease of 70,500 square feet at 7501 Wisconsin Avenue. CW Capital also signed a significant lease at 7501 Wisconsin Avenue of 48,000 square feet.

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